Punit Shah from the MRC Social, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry (SGDP) Centre at King’s College London, said: ‘There is ample evidence for optimism bias in various real-world situations – England football fans for example – but these instances simply show that certain people might be optimistic in certain situations; not that they are generally optimistic.’ Dr Adam Harris from UCL said: ‘Previous studies, which have used flawed methodologies to claim that people are optimistic across all situations and that this bias is ‘normal’, are now in serious doubt. We need to look for new ways of studying optimism bias to establish whether it is a universal feature of human cognition or not. ‘This assumption that people are optimistically biased is being used to guide large infrastructure projects, with the aim of managing expectations around how much projects will cost and how long they will take to complete. Our research supports a reexamination of optimism bias before allowing it to guide clinical research and policy.’ ### The research was supported by the Experimental Psychology Society, the Medical Research Council and Wellcome [099775/Z/12/Z]. Notes to editors For further media information please contact Jack Stonebridge, Press Officer, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King’s College London jack.stonebridge@kcl.ac.uk or 07718697176. About King’s College London – http://www. uk King’s College London is one of the top 20 universities in the world (2015/16 QS World University Rankings) and among the oldest in England. King’s has more than 26,500 students (of whom nearly 10,400 are graduate students) from some 150 countries worldwide, and nearly 6,900 staff. The university is in the second phase of a 1 billion redevelopment programme which is transforming its estate. King’s has an outstanding reputation for world-class teaching and cutting-edge research. In the 2014 Research Excellence Framework (REF) King’s was ranked 6th nationally in the ‘power’ ranking, which takes into account both the quality and quantity of research activity, and 7th for quality according to Times Higher Education rankings.

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